평택ㆍ당진항 항만의 일반(잡화)화물 물동량 추정

Forecasting General Cargo Traffic of PyeongtaekㆍDangjin Port

  The aim of this paper is to make projection of the demand for general(miscellaneous) cargo traffic originating at PyeongtaekㆍDangjin port in Korea over the period in question. Systematic analysis is used as a forecasting method instead of quantitative analysis. First of all, the method explores coincident indicators which may reflect the square measure of neighboring industrial complexes which originate/destinate general cargo in export traffic trends. It is noted that in terms of the general merchandise cargo volume, per unit production scale is intermediated transforming from square measure of production facilities to freight weight in Korea. Consequently, the future progress of the volume can be anticipated relying on the development schemes for developing square measure out of the total square of the industrial complexes. Thus, moving-into percentage of the industrial complexes and standard stevedoring capacities(per annum) for ports" sizes considered are adopted and the future traffic demand is projected taking advantage of them.