Impact of Multiple-Child Policy on Korea"s Fertility
Impact of Multiple-Child Policy on Korea"s Fertility
- 한국공공정책학회
- 공공정책연구
- 공공정책연구 제14권 3호
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2007.121 - 12 (12 pages)
- 18
Korea"s multiple-child policy will impact women"s political influence. The assumption of a roughly normal distribution curve for the number of children per family allows long-term projections of the total fertility rate and the resulting gender ratio. As the economic incentives become more attractive for child bearing and raising, the child distribution curve will tend to move to the right. That is, Korean women will have more children.<BR> Three projections of fertility are executed according to the degree of policy effectiveness. The results indicate that Korea"s fertility will rise from the current level of 1.16 and will exceed 2.1 within a reasonably short period of time. Due to economic and social limitations, however, it is not likely to exceed 3.0.<BR> Because of sex-balancing efforts, Korea"s typical family will have one son and one daughter instead of one son. During this process, Korea"s national fertility will increase, and, in particular, female fertility will increase. This means that the number of women voters, and the proportion of women among all voters will increase. Furthermore, the number of highly educated women and the education level of woman will increase with rising fertility.
Abstract<BR>Ⅰ. Introduction<BR>Ⅱ. A Brief Review of China"s One-Child Policy<BR>Ⅲ. Long-term Projections of Korea"s Fertility<BR>Ⅳ. Conclusion<BR>References<BR>
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