서울 권역의 주택수요 추정에 관한 연구

A Study on Housing Demand Estimation in Seoul

&nbsp;&nbsp;1. CONTENTS<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;(1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;The purpose of this study was to estimate the housing demand in Seoul. This study was based on the fact that housing demand has been had an effect on the change of forecasting population. We proceeded this study after writing the scenario which all situations are extended according to the current trend. The goal year was set in 2015 since we consider the housing policy of Seoul.<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;(2) RESEARCH METHOD<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;Regression analysis<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;(3) RESEARCH RESULTS<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;This study was to find out the effect of different regional characteristics on housing demand, based on population structure. For this study, We divided Seoul into 5 sections and housing demand was forecasted by housing demand function, based on population and population structure change.<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;Regional housing demand from 2008 up to 2010 and from 2011 up to 2015 was forecasted by the estimated population through regression analysis method. This study shows that total demand of housing is about 700,000 (from 2008 to 2010: 400,000 and from 2011 to 2015: 570,000)<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;2. RESULTS<BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;As a result, Total demand of housing was about 700,000(from 2008 up to 2010: 400,000 and from 2011 up to 2015: 570,000). The core of a city is 93,066, West-north area is 205,596, West-south area is 264,014, East-north area is 180,594, and East-south area is 230,879.