지역무역협정의 추이와 경제적 평가

An analysis of the trend and economic impacts of the Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs)

By July 2007, 205 Regional Trade Agreements(RTAs) have been reported to WTO, about 74% of them were formed in the second part of the 1990s. WTO has published the statistics of the trade among the member countries of EU, NAFTA, ASEAN, MERCOSUR and ANDEAN. In the 2000-2005 period, the total intra-trade, and the weight of the intra-trade of the total trade (exports plus imports) of EU were the largest, and followed by NAFTA ASEAN MERCOSUR, and ANDEAN. The potentials of net trade creation effects were estimated indirectly by comparing the number of firms (by GDP and total trade), similarity of industrial structure(export similarity index) and found that the potential of NAFTA was the largest, and followed by EU ASEAN MERCOSUR, ANDEAN. Specially, it was found that the trade creation effect of the Korea-Chile FTA was small, mainly due to the strong industrial complementarity of the two partners