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Keynesian Prospects for the US Economy

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Historically, financial crises have been commonplace. Why did the latest episode almost derail the world economy ? The macroeconomics developed by John Maynard Keynes and his close followers provides the only plausible set of answers, including rising income inequality which spilled over into debt accumulation at the same time as household consumption rose, low real interest rates, massive expansion of financial assets and liabilities as investors borrowed heavily (increased leverage) to buy assets with rising prices, and an ample supply of imports and capital inflows from the rest of the world. In an accommodating political economic environment these factors linked the real and financial sides of the economy to create the crisis.

Abstract

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Long Swings in Political Economy

Ⅲ. Lessons from the Master

Ⅳ. Ideas from the Disciples

Ⅴ. The Theory and Data for the USA

Ⅵ. International Complications

Ⅶ. Deciphering the Past

Ⅷ. Pondering the Future

Ⅸ. Policy Options

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