농식품 수출 확대 지원 정책의 파급효과 분석

(An Analysis on Export Promotion Policy for Agricultural Products)

In 2008, Ministry for Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries declared that the exportation value of agro-food will be increased to 10 billion dollars by 2012, and introduced various program to promote the exportation of agrofood. Some studies discussed about the government programs to promote agro-food exportation and evaluated the effect of programs, but they usually focused one side of the promotion programs for agro-food exportation. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of promotion programs for exportation of agro-food. Especially, this study used the modified CGE model (Computable General Equilibrium Model), in order to analyze the overall effects considering more various factors. The results of studies present that the promotion programs in 2010 might contribute the 1.41% increase in agricultural industry and the 0.12% increase in GDP. The results also show that the promotion programs might contribute the 0.04% increase in social welfare, which could be 2.1 billion dollars. Consequently, the promotion programs for agro-food exportation showed the clear positive effects.