학술저널
육계가격 예측모형의 예측력 비교 평가
Evaluation of the Performance of Broiler Price Forecasts
- 한국농식품정책학회
- 농업경영.정책연구
- 농업경영·정책연구 42권 2호
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2015.06232 - 248 (17 pages)
- 62
The primary objective of the study is to evaluate the performance of broiler price forecasts. The KREI (Korea Rural Economic Institute) forecasts are evaluated against three autoregressive time-series models; autoregressive (AR) model, seasonal AR model, and AR model with monthly dummies. Results show that KREI broiler price forecasts are superior to forecasts generated by the pure AR model, but inferior to forecasts generated by the AR model which considers the monthly effect. The results also suggest that the KREI forecasts can be further improved by combining the time-series forecasts.
Ⅰ. 서 론
Ⅱ. 분석자료
Ⅲ. 분석방법
Ⅳ. 분석결과
Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론
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