김치 CODEX 규격화 이후의 수출변화 분석

The Analysis of the effect of CODEX Standardization on the Export of Korean Kimchi

The international standardization of Kimchi CODEX is important matter to define the future directions of export policies of Kimchi. The purpose of this study is to specify the effect of international standardization of Kimchi CODEX on the export of Korean Kimchi. We used several time series methods to analyze the effect. First, we performed Quandt-Andrews breakpoint test to verify the existence of structural change within the export amount of Kimchi. Second, we tested the significance of dummy variable which represented the standardization of CODEX. Finally, we used exponential GARCH model to examine the effect of Kimchi CODEX to the variability of Kimchi’s export price. We derived the results that the CODEX increased the export amount of Kimchi and abated the variability of export prices. These can be important reasons for supporting standardization of CODEX in other agrifood items.