자유무역협정(FTA)이 중국의 농산물 수출에 미치는 영향 분석 : 경쟁국 효과를 중심으로

The Effect of FTA on China’s Agricultural Exports : Focused on the Competing Country Effect

Recently, there has been a lot of studies about the effect of Korea-China FTA on Korean agricultural sector. However, most of them examine the issue on the Korea’s position and consider only two countries’ agricultural situation but do not consider the competing country effects on Korea-China FTA. Using the China’s export data over the period from 2001 to 2010 for 49 destination countries, this paper analyzes the effect of FTA on China’s agricultural export using a gravity equation. The study has found that a FTA increases China’s agricultural export around 56.3%~80.1%. However, if the importing country already makes a FTA with other agricultural exporting countries such as the United States, agricultural export increases around 29.3%~39.0% due to the competing country effect.