규모별 쌀경영비에 기초한 2004 쌀전업농육성대책 평가

An Evaluation of Government Policy for Promoting Rice Farmers Income based on the Production Costs Evaluated by Farm Size

This paper attempts to evaluate government policy for promoting rice farmers income proposed at 2004 based on the costs of rice production. The evaluation specifically focuses on (ⅰ) possible differentials of rice production costs with respect to farm size and (ⅱ) reasonable treatment of agricultural machinery costs. Three scenarios for the rice price at 2010 were also considered in order to reflect uncertainties regarding rice markets and rice policy at 2010. The results suggest that the income projection level based on government policy for boosting rice farmers income by structural change towards a large-scale farm turns out to be overestimated. When cost differentials of rice production with respect to farm size are incorporated in the analysis, rice farmers income level at 2010 tends to be lower than what is projected by government.