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학술대회자료

Heteroscedasticity Consistent Inference on the Cointegration Rank in Vector Error Correction Models

Heteroscedasticity Consistent Inference on the Cointegration Rank in Vector Error Correction Models

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This paper considers statistical inference on the cointegration rank in vector error correction models, which is robust to heteroscedastic errors. As the likelihood ratio (LR) statistic assumes identically distributed errors, we develop the Lagrange multiplier (LM) and Wald statistics for the cointegration rank using the heteroscedasticity robust covariance estimator. The asymptotic distributions of the LM and Wald statistics follow the nonstandard distribution, which has been found by Johansen (1991). Simulation evidence indicates that the proposed tests improve the performance of the cointegration rank test.

1 Introduction

2 The Test Statistics

3 Main Results

4 Models with Deterministic Trends

5 Simulation Evidence

6 Economic Application

7 Concluding Remarks

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