한육우 농가 인력수요 전망과 분석

An Analysis of Farm Labor Demand for Korean Beef Sector

Korean livestock sector has been experiencing steady increase of real gross value of agricultural production despite ist declining population over the last 30 years. It implies that Korean livestock sector has changed from labor-intensive to capital-intensive industry. In addition to this structural change, the acceleration of open market policies, especially completed and ongoing Free Trade Agreement (FTA) negotiations with major trading partners is likely to affect Korean livestock farm labor market significantly. This paper examines the impact that changing beef imports would have on beef farm labor de-mand using a partial equilibrium modeling system of Korean beef sector as well as farm labor de-mand for live cattle as a derived demand for beef demand. Beef farm labor demand is projected to decrease by 2.6% to 7.5% compared to baseline as beef imports increase 5%.