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학술저널

공간계량경제 방법론을 이용한 단수반응모형의 예측력에 관한 비교연구

A Study on Comparison of Forecasting Power in Yield Response Models Using Spatial Econometrics Method

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The objective of this study is to develop rice response models to account for the impact of weather on rice yield and to project the rice yield level. In order to consider spatial autocorrelation effects, spatial econometrics approaches are used. The empirical results showed that rice yield level are strongly influenced by weather variables. The forecasting power of the rice yield models was improved by adding the spatial autocorrelation effect. Out of sample forecasting tests con-firmed the spatial response models are more accurate than using general multiple regression models.

I. 서 론

II. 연구의 이론적 배경

III. 분석모형의 설정 및 절차

Ⅳ. 실증분석 결과

Ⅴ. 결 론

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