한국 쌀농업의 선택

Choice of Korean Rice Industry : Special Treatment and Tariffication Scenario

Korea is scheduled to choose either tariffication or special treatment for rice in WTO in 2004. The effects of the two scenarios were analysed using Korean Agricultural Sector Model, called KREI-ASMO 1999. If minimum access is expanded less than 13-17 percents, special treatment is more protective than tariffication for Korean rice market. And tariffication has a bigger effect on farm income than on rice production since rice price will drop very much in tariffication scenario: Rice production will be reduced 13 percents while rice farming income per hectare will be reduced 24 percents in 2010 compared with the scenario holding minimum access at 4 percent.