The North Korean Nuclear Multilemma: Options to Break the Nuclear Deadlock in Northeast Asia
- 한국학술연구원
- Korea Observer
- Vol 47, No 4
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2016.12699 - 719 (21 pages)
- 34
The DPRK’s emerging nuclear weapons capability threatens the strategic status quo, from Korea all the way to the global nonproliferation regime. As a result, the region finds itself caught in a deadlock, with no apparent way out. In fact, we argue that the problems posed by the DPRK’s nuclear weapons are so complicated and multi-level that they present policymakers with a true multilemma. This issue was designed to give the reader a comprehensive and even-handed presentation of the true complexity of the North Korean nuclear issue. It elicits realistic policy options for the Trump and post-Park Administration that will outlast the immediate political transitions in Washington and Seoul, and provides insight as to where and how the two allies might approach the DPRK’s nuclear threat based on a rethinking of the North Korean crisis.
Abstact
I. Introduction
II. DPRK Fissile Material Production
III. North Korea’s Goal: Submarine Launched Nuclear-Armed Ballistic Missiles
IV. Strategic Effects of Increased Nuclear Threat on Korean Stability
V. The Bleak Strategic Nuclear Landscape
VI. The China Factor and Realistic Goals for Six-Party Talks and Cooperation
VII. The Trump and Park Factors
VIII. Constructing a Multilateral Security Settlement
IX. Sanctions and Settlement of the North Korea Nuclear Issue
X. Civil Society and the Nagasaki Process
XI. Conclusion
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