주민참여 영향요인이 도시발전 수준에 미치는 인과관계 분석

Analysis of Causal Relationships Among Citizen Participation Factors Affecting Urban Development - Application of System Dynamics Approach -

Nowadays urban development is a complex phenomenon because of increasing dynamic nature of stake-holders involved in it, leading to an increase of unexpected urban development processes. This paper aims to discover causal relationships among factors associated with citizen participation in urban development process, and to estimate how strongly and significantly the crucial factors involved in the process could affect the ultimate goal of urban development using policy simulation method. In doing so, we examine citizen participation factors affecting urban development from theoretical point of view, and then attempt to estimate the influences of the selected variables on urban development level. The research method employed in this study is system dynamics approach which can be used for forecasting the dynamic bahaviour of policy scenarios constructed in this analysis. The research results show that two variables, the perception of citizen towards participation in urban development and indirect support on the part of administrative organisation, can significanly change urban development process.