階層化意思決定(AHP)을 利用한 에너지/資源 技術開發 優先順位 評價模型

An analytic Hierarchy Process Model for Energy/Resources R & D Priorities in Korea

This paper presents an analytic hierarchy process(AHP) model for determining the energy/resources R & D priorities in Korea. The priority planning problem in the energy/resources R & D sector is a very complex one with multiple decision criteria such as the degree of contribution to the national energy securities, the relative economic efficiency, the possibility of R & D success, the degree of proliferation effect in national scientific/technological improvement, and the degree of effects to the recent hot issue of environmental problems, etc. We employ the AHP technique which is known to be useful for such a muti-attribut decision-making problem. We first investigate the R & D characteristics of Korean energy/resources technologies, and design a hierarchical priority evaluation system. Based on this, we develop AHP questionaires and survey over the experienced experts in two stages. The first stage is done to the experts separated by research areas such as electricity, nuclear, oil, gas, coal, renewable energies, energy saving, etc., appreciating the differences among the areas. The R & D options evaluated as that of first priority in each area are reevaluated by the energy policy experts in the second stage. The results are demonstrated selectively with the emphasis on the data manipulation method because they are not our primary concerns. The full report of the results can be found elsewhere.