이집트 엘시시(El-Sisi) 정권 안보의 취약성

Vulnerability of the El-Sisi Regime Security

A leader (especially from the military) is eager to survive in his office. Therefore, a military regime puts efforts in 1) centralizing its authority, 2) preventing another coup by comforting its military, and 3) obtaining legitimacy. However, in order to centralize the authority, a military regime represses dissenters and restricts individual freedom; to comfort its military, it allows the military to intervene in politics and/or have economic privileges; and to obtain legitimacy, it tries to show better political / economic performance by differentiating itself from the former regime. Since El-Sisi came to power through a military coup, he has implemented such policies to survive in his office as well. However, unlike the other two factors, Egypt’s economic condition is not in the proper condition, which threatens the regime’s security. If the Egyptian economy improves, as there is no alternative political group or leader, Egypt looks likely to remain in a military regime. Nevertheless, the problems of human rights abuse need to be addressed and solved for the regime’s security in the long run.