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KCI등재 학술저널

교민이 한국의 과일류 수출에 미치는 영향 분석

The Effect of Immigrants on the Fruit Exports of Korea using Cragg’s Double Hurdle Model

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Recently, the effect of immigrants on international trade has been one of the important research topics in international economics. To examine this issue in connection with the agricultural export of Korea, relevant studies has used the panel tobit model to control the observations having zero value. However, theoretically, the tobit model is highly restrictive because it assumes the same consumption and participation effect of immigrant on trade volume. In this paper, with panel data sets covering three important fruit exports of Korea, we estimate these effects separately using the Cragg’s double hurdle model. The important empirical findings are: First, the Cragg’s model is statistically more proper than the tobit model to handle agricultural export data when there are significant zero observations in the sample. Second, the participation effect of immigrants on trade volume is significant while the consumption effect is not so important. Third, the effect of immigrants on Korea’s fruit exports are much bigger than the general goods suggested in the relevant literature.

Ⅰ. 서 론

Ⅱ. 분석방법

Ⅲ. 실증분석모형 및 분석자료

Ⅳ. 분석결과

Ⅴ. 요약 및 결론

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