김정은 시기의 북한의 대남 군사도발의 유형과 변화 양상

Types and Changes of North Korea Military Provocations in Kim joung un’s Period

This study empirically analyzes the invasion and provocation of South Korea from 2009 to 2018 when Kim Jong-un appeared on the front of the North Korean regime, examines the types and characteristics of changes, and analyzes the nature and cause of provocation. It will help to find the direction to maintain and develop the types and frequencies of invasion and provocation of South Korea, which are the subject of empirical analysis, were classified according to types of ground local provocation, maritime local provocation, aerial local provocation, nuclear test provocation, missile provocation, etc. The case presented a case of bypass infiltration. As a result of the analysis, the characteristics and aspects of the military provocations under the Kim Jong-un regime were overwhelmingly high in strategic provocations such as the invasion of the NLL in the West Sea and nuclear and missile provocations. In particular, the missile test launch, which has the second highest frequency among provocation types, succeeded in miniaturizing and lightening nuclear weapons, and is currently seeking to diversify and multiply. In addition, the intensity of North Korea s provocation against South Korea has become stronger as Kim Jong-un s status is strengthened. North Korea s military provocations are clearly contrary to the 9.19 military agreement that prohibits mutual hostility between North and South Korea last year. There needs to be an active and effective response that can be curbed.