부동산신탁 수탁고 변동요인에 대한 동태적 관계분석

Dynamic Analysis of decisive factors in Fluctuation of the Real Estate Trust Deposit(Principal)

The purpose of the study is to analyze the effect of economic variables on the fluctuation of real estate trust deposit. In this study, VAR model was used as an analytic model. The time range was from the 1st quarter of 2001 to the 4th quarter of 2018. The spatial range was South Korea. The dependent variable was real estate trust deposit, and the independent variables were ‘Housing Purchase Price Index’, ‘CD interest rate’, ‘The Floor Area of the Construction Permit Structure’, ‘CPI’. The real estate trust deposit showed a positive (+) response to the impact of the CPI and negative (-) response to the changes in CD interest rate. In addition the real estate trust deposit showed a positive (+) response to the Housing transaction price index of the whole country. The real estate trust deposit showed a positive (+) response to the impact of ‘The Floor Area of the Construction Permit Structure’ as well. The fluctuation of the deposit accounted for the impact of the deposit itself and the impact of housing transaction price index of the whole country and CD interest rate, which is viewed from the 2nd quarter in different time. This study will help to expect the real estate trust’s market volatility, which has a significance as the first study of the empirical analysis of the effect of the economic variables to the variation of the real estate trust deposit.