한ㆍ중ㆍ일을 포함한 세계 주요국들의 교역패턴과 경제통합 효과 분석

A Study on Analysis of Trade Structure and Economic Integration Effect by the Gravity Model

The purpose of this study is to analyze general trade pattern, factors influencing on trade and the effect of economic integration of countries including Korea based on gravity model ,and to induce policy suggestion The method of analysis is used panel data analysis unlike that of many different studies. The result of analysis is as follows: The trade pattern of Korea and other countries is almost consistent with the theory of gravity model. In other words, it is revealed that the increase of GDP gives rise to the increase of the size of trade. And the distance between the trade countries have a negative effect on size of trade. The effect of per income on trade is almost positive. By the Analysis about the Northeast Asian Economy, the effect of local economic integration on trade of Korea is a negative to NAFTA and EU, but positive to ASEAN as China and Japan. We find that local economic integration of NAFTA and EU has a negative effect each other.