베트남의 B2C 전자상거래 무역확대와 한국의 경제협력 모색

The Expanding of Vietnam’s B2C E-Commerce Trade and Seeking Economic Cooperation in Korea

Purpose - This paper is to study Vietnam’s B2C e-commerce trade expansion and Korea’s economic cooperation. Accordingly, I will look at the ARIMA (1,1,0) model estimate of Vietnam’s trade expansion trend in this field for such a research purpose. Design/Methodology/Approach - Actual figures of Vietnam’s high-tech export growth rate (million dollars, compared to the previous year) in Vietnam’s high-tech industry from 1998 to 2013, and the e-commerce growth rate of Vietnam’s B2C from 1998 to 2017 were analyzed using real figures of e-commerce growth rate of B2C in Vietnam. The expected scale level was estimated from 2020 to 2025 by the ARIMA (1,1,0) model. Therefore, it is worth paying attention to Korea’s leading electronics, automobile, automobile part and fabric industries are specifically strengthening economic cooperation with Vietnam through EVFTA, etc. Findings - From 2020 to 2025, the expected scale level was estimated using the ARIMA (1,1,0) model. Based on this study, it is estimated that Vietnam’s B2C e-commerce growth rate will continue to rise from 2020 to 2025, increasing by more than 2.5 times compared to 2017 and more than 1.5 times compared to 2020. Research Implications - Looking at the difference in the e-commerce revenue of Vietnam’s B2C from 2014 to 2017 (compared to the previous year), it increased by $1.1 billion in 2015 compared to 2014. In addition, it was found to have increased by $930 million in 2016 compared to 2015, and then to $1.2 billion in 2017 compared to 2016.