AHP분석을 이용한 도시개발사업의 개발 리스크 요인 연구

A Study on the Risk Factors of Urban Development Projects Using AHP Analysis

This study aims to find risk factors of urban development projects in the center of Pyeongtaek. We will analyze each step, attribute, factor, risk importance and priority using statistical techniques of AHP analysis. The existing studies of urban development projects are limited to problem analysis and revitalization measures of urban development projects, so there are few studies on risk factors of urban development projects. The purpose of this study is to suggest the optimal management plan based on the derived risk factors and importance analysis. This study classifies the development stages into large, medium, and small to determine the relative importance of risk factors in each stage of urban development projects and determines the relative importance using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) analysis. The results of the analysis show that the compound weights are the basis for judging item priority of the relative importance of the stage risk factors for urban development projects. Among the 48 items, the weighted analysis results show that the top 10 of the 48 items require attention for risk management in the urban development project. Therefore, intensive management is required for careful analysis. In particular, in this study, the preliminary feasibility analysis stage and the market environment analysis stage are important in the pre-development evaluation stage, the site acquisition stage is important in the development preparation stage, and the negotiation and contract conclusion stage are important in the development stage.