공동주택 분양률 영향 요인 분석

An Analysis of Factors Affecting Apartment Housing Pre-Sale Rate: Focusing on the Initial Pre-Sale Rate of Apartments in Seoul

The purpose of this study is to find out whether the information on the pre-sale market is as useful as the information on the general trading market through time series analysis. The relationship between initial pre-sale rates, pre-sale prices, and supply volume and external influences on the pre-sale market were analyzed by time series over the last 60 months (20 quarters). The three variables that make up the pre-sale market are highly interrelated, although there are some regional differences. The influence of the housing trading market on the pre-sale market, which was mainly focused on the pre-sale rate, was found to have little or no influence. In other words, we can conclude that the two markets behave differently. The results of this analysis in the pre-sale market can be useful information that can be helpful for policy decision-making and market trends.