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KCI등재 학술저널

생활가뭄에 대한 피해규모 추정기법 개발 및 적용

Development and Application of Estimation Method for the Scale of Damage in Domestic Drought

DOI : 10.9798/KOSHAM.2021.21.6.275
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본 연구에서는 생활가뭄의 피해액과 복구액에 대한 피해규모 추정기법을 개발하였다. 행정안전부에서 발행한 국가가뭄통계집의 자료를 기반으로 개발된 피해규모 추정기법을 적용하였다. 생활가뭄의 피해액과 복구액은 2018년과 2019년에 발생한 생활가뭄피해자료를 적용하였다. 생활가뭄 피해액은 용수공급 제한에 대한 피해인원과 숙박 및 음식점을 고려한 산정식을 개발하였다. 생활가뭄 복구액은 피해인원에 대한 생활재난지원;용수지원;용수개발지원;장비 및 인력지원을 고려한 산정식을 개발하였다. 한정적인 생활가뭄 피해현황의 DB 구축으로 피해액은 피해인원 항목;복구액은 생활재난지원과 용수지원 항목에 대하여 산정하였다. 생활가뭄의 피해액은 2018년이 총 612.471백만 원으로 강원도와 전라남도에서 2019년은 총 218.616백만 원으로 인천광역시에서 약 90% 이상이 산정되었다. 생활가뭄의 복구액은 2018년이 총 5,994.555백만 원으로 강원도와 전라남도에서 2019년은 총 4,882.024백만 원으로 충청남도에서 약 90%이상이 산정되었다. 생활가뭄의 피해액과 복구액은 2018년에서는 약 10배;2019년에는 약 20배의 차이가 발생하였다.

In this study;an estimation method for damage and recovery costs on account of domestic droughts was developed. The estimation method for the scale of damage was applied based on the national drought statistics generated by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security. The damage and recovery costs of domestic droughts were calculated based on the damage data of domestic droughts that occurred in 2018 and 2019. The estimation method was developed for damage costs incurred due to domestic droughts by considering the number of people affected by water supply restrictions;accommodation;and restaurants. The method for estimating recovery costs after domestic droughts was developed considering domestic disaster support;water support;water development support;equipment support;and human resource support for victims. Due to the construction of a DB of limited domestic drought damage status;the damage costs were calculated for the number of people affected by water supply restrictions;and the recovery costs were calculated for the domestic disaster and water support. The total damage costs caused by domestic droughts in 2018 amounted to 612.471 M KRW;and in Gangwon-do and Jeollanam-do;they were 218.616 M KRW in 2019;and more than 90% of Incheon metropolitan city was calculated. The total recovery costs caused by domestic droughts in 2018 were 5,994.555 M KRW;and in Gangwon-do and Jeollanam-do;they amounted to 4,882.024 M KRW in 2019;and more than 90% of Chungcheongnam-do was calculated. The difference between the damage and recovery costs of domestic droughts was approximately tenfold in 2018 and twentyfold in 2019.

1. 서론

2. 선행연구 및 관련 규정

3. 생활가뭄 피해규모 추정기법 개발

4. 과거 가뭄피해에 대한 생활가뭄 피해규모 추정기법 적용

5. 결론

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