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KCI우수등재 학술저널

계절 ARIMA 모형을 통한 호텔객실매출액의 예측

경주지역 특급 호텔을 중심으로

Sun-lust resort hotel unlike other businesses tend to suffer from high seasonal and economic fluctuations at high-low season or weekday-weekend period. Using monthly sales data of deluxe hotel of Gyeongju. during past ten years this paper forecasts and evaluates the bedroom sales trends. The result shows that the difference exists quite a lot between on-season and off-season of room sales of deluxe hotel of Gyeongju. In the forecast multiplicative seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0) model was found the most appropriate one. Authors suggest that the daily sales forecast are preferable to monthly sales forecast if data conditions are met.

I. 서론

II. 호텔객실매출액 추정에 있어서 계절성

III. 사례적용예측

IV. 결론

참고문헌

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