数字经济与人口迁移

Digital Economy and Human Migration : Empirical Evidence from Guangdong Province, China

本文探讨了数字经济对广东省人口迁移的效应及其背后的机制。本文采用固定效应模型测度了2011—2019年中国广东省21个地级及以上城市的数字经济发展对城市人口迁移的影响。本研究结果表明：数字经济的发展对城市人口净迁移率存在显著的拉力作用，能够显著提升城市的净迁移率，并且对城市迁出率存在显著的负向影响。城市经济发展水平和医疗水平对城市人口的迁入亦存在显著的拉力作用。这一结论在引入工具变量后仍然成立。本研究为区域内数字经济发展与人口迁移提供了解释机制和实证经验证据，有助于理解数字经济的发展与城市人口变迁之间的作用机制。在此基础上，本研究提出了相关政策建议，为广东省数字经济发展、人才引进等政策的制定提供一定的参考依据。

This paper explores the effect of the digital economy on human migration in Guangdong Province. This paper measures the effect of digital economy development on human migration in 21 prefecture-level cities in Guangdong Province, China, from 2011 to 2019 using a fixed-effects model. The results of this study show that there is a significant positive effect of digital economy on net migration rate, and there is a significant negative effect on emigration rates. There is also a significant pull effect of economic development level and health-care level on migration. This finding holds after introducing instrumental variables estimation. This study provides explanatory mechanisms and empirical evidence for the development of digital economy and human migration, which helps to understand the mechanism of action between the development of digital economy and human migration. On this basis, this study puts forward policy recommendations, which provide some reference basis for the formulation of policies on digital economy and talent introduction in Guangdong Province.