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KCI등재 학술저널

[특집] 한국 新정부의 한반도 군비통제정책 추진방향

A New Approach toward Arms Control on the Korean Peninsula

Over the past five years, under the guidelines of Sunshine Policy, South Korean government has engaged North Korea persistently despite all difficulties and obstacles. As a result, some progress has been made, mostly in economic and social area. And also, since after June 2000 when first South-North Summit took place, inter-Korean dialogue has been resumed. But, little progress has been made in tension reduction. Today we are still faced with North Korean threats in various forms and levels, in some cases threats from the North are increasing rather than decreasing. The current security environment requires as to more actively pursue inter-Korean arms control than ever before. To realize the objective of peaceful coexistence and prosperity, arms control can be considered seriously. But it needs to be adjusted to meet the challenges we are having nowadays. Since the late 1980s and early 1990s, South Korean government has developed various arms control measures and policies. Thus it is not necessary for us to formulate a totally new arms control policy. What we need now is the changes in our approach and attitude rather than specific position regarding a certain issue. First of all, we should be more forthcoming and active in security issues. Second, we must adopt comprehensive approach rather than incremental approach. Third, we should try to resolve today's security issues now, not later. Fourth, we should make a balance in progress between non-security areas and security area. Fifth, we should become more flexible in formulating venue for talks and negotiation. And, finally, we should try to utilize whatever available. We should try to resolve the issue of North Korea's WMD first. Otherwise, there could be neither security nor peace on the Korean Peninsula. Asymmetrical threats are real and undermine all the things we have achieved up today. This task can be done through multilateral cooperation. Second topic we should keep focused is crisis prevention and management area: that is, the maintenance of stable 'cold peace'. For that purpose, we can introduce some measures which will keep separate and distant each one's armed forces away from the other. For example, we can turn DMZ as real de-militarized area. And hot-line must be established at least between commanders in forward areas as we have seen in road and railway construction project. Based on that, we could build confidence in each other through various confidence-building measures, especially information exchange and personnel contacts. We should also demand North Korea to change its force posture by relocating some offensive weapons, which present grave threat to the capital area of the South. In response, South Korea can relocate some of its forces away from the forward area. For arms limitation and reduction, imbalance between the two Korea must be addressed first. Then we can go for further arms reduction at lower level. This must be guided by the principle of equal number as both sides at the final stage. Old and outdated equipment should not be replaced with new one. By doing so, we can incrementally reduce the total number of equipment over time. The key concern must be the reduction of the possibility of surprise attack and threat to the capital area. We need to become more flexible regarding form of negotiation Depending upon the character of the issue, we can choose a proper form of negotiation This could hasten the process and provide multiple layer of pressure for compliance and implementation.Finally, so long as we maintain ROK-U5 combined defense posture, it is necessary to strengthen bi-lateral coordination mechanism between the two on arms control and tension reduction.

Ⅰ. 서론

Ⅱ. 한반도 군비통제 추진실적 평가

Ⅲ. 군비통제 추진여건 전망 및 평가

Ⅳ. 우리의 대책

Ⅴ. 결론

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