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학술저널

Tests of the Null of Cointegration Using Integrated and Modified OLS Residuals

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JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY AND ECONOMETRICS Vol.35 No.4.jpg

This study develops a KPSS (Kwiatkowski et al., 1992)-type cointegration test utilizing residuals from integrated and modified ordinary least squares (IMOLS) estimation. The test statistic, denoted by KPSS^{Fb} has a pivotal null limit distribution under fixed-b assumption. The proposed test demonstrates reasonable performance in terms of size and power when the Andrews' AR(1) plug-in data-dependent (DD) bandwidth is employed and fixed-b critical values are used. Additionally, two modified IMOLS residuals are proposed to obtain alternative data-dependent bandwidths. In the simulation experiment, these bandwidths deliver improved power properties for the proposed test.

1. INTRODUCTION

2. MODEL SETUP AND ASSUMPTIONS

3. IMOLS-BASED COINTEGRATION TESTS

4. SIMULATION STUDY

5. CONCLUSION

REFERENCES

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