확장 TOPMODEL의 영역화 민감도 분석

Regionalized Sensitivity Analysis of Extended TOPMODEL

인공배수 되고 있는 농업유역을 위한 확장된 TOPMODEL은 강우유출 모의를 위해 개발되어졌다. 불포화흐름의 해석을 위해 기존 모형의 저류함수법과 본 연구에서 새로이 제시하는 전달함수법을 비교하였다. 매개변수의 민감도 결정과 저류함수법과 전달함수법간의 거동의 비교를 위하여 영역화 민감도 분석기법이 쓰였다. Monte-Carlo 방법을 활용한 변수 추정시, 전달함수를 활용한 모의가 보다 많은 성공적인 모의결과의 변수조합이 관찰되었다. 강우유출 양상의 계절적 변동을 고려하기 위해 일곱 개의 강우사상이 만감도 분석에 활용되었다.

An extension of TOPMODEL was developed for rainfall-runoff simulation in agricultural watersheds equipped with tile drains. Tile drain functions are incorporated into the framework of TOPMODEL. Nine possible flow generation scenarios are suggested for tile drained watershed and applied in the modeling procedure. In the model development process, the traditional physically based storage approach and a new approach using a transfer function for the simulation of the flow in the unsaturated zone were compared. In order to provide better insight into the simulation process, a regionalized sensitivity analysis was performed to test the performance of the model and to compare the behavior of the transfer function to that of the simple storage related formulation. The results of analysis show good performance of the transfer function approach. Since the rainfall-runoff response pattern tends to vary seasonally, seven events distributed throughout a year were used in the sensitivity analysis to investigate the seasonal variation of the hydrologic characteristics. It is found that the sensitivity of each parameter described by the model are varied seasonally.