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UTR vs. CU Formation: The Missing CET

UTR vs. CU Formation: The Missing CET

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In 1965, Cooper and Massell (CM), using a partial-equilibrium trade model, reached the conclusion that a policy of unilateral tariff reduction (UTR) is superior to the formation of a customs union (CU). Wonnacott and Wonnacott (WW) challenged this conclusion in 1981 by claiming to show that UTR need not dominate a CU. In this article, we demonstrate that the incorporation of a common external tariff in WW?s CU model not only restores the validity of CM?s conclusion but also leads to the new proposition that the mutual adoption of non-discriminatory free trade policies is superior to UTR. (JEL Classifications: F13, F02)

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. W&W’s Claim and Our Contention

Ⅲ. Clarifying the UTR vs. CU Formation Issue

Ⅳ. W&W’s Most Unambiguous Case

Ⅴ. The Case of a CU with Trade with W

Ⅵ. The CET as a Prohibitive Tariff

Ⅶ. The Case Where UTR Is Not the Optimal Policy

Ⅷ. W&W’s Analysis of Trade Diversion

Ⅸ. W&W’s Analysis of Trade Creation

Ⅹ. Many Outside Countries and Commodities

XI. Conclusion

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