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EU Preferential Trading Arrangements with the Caribbean: A Grim Regional Economic Partnership Agreements?

EU Preferential Trading Arrangements with the Caribbean: A Grim Regional Economic Partnership Agreements?

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The European Union (EU) has more preferential trading arrangements than any other trading entity. For a quarter of a century African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries have benefited from unreciprocated preferential access to the EU market under a succession of Lome Arrangements. Sunset provisions now apply to these concessions and after 2007 unreciprocated preferences will end. The EU is proposing that a network of regional Economic Partnership Agreements (REPAs) replace Lome. This is a new form of regional trading arrangement for both the EU and ACP countries. In this paper we develop an analytical framework for evaluating the impact effects of a REPA and apply this to estimate costs and benefits in the CARICOM region. Our results suggest that a REPA would be inferior on welfare grounds to either extended reciprocity with the EU and US, or broader multilateral liberalisation.

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Discriminatory Policy and Reciprocity: Analytical Framework

Ⅲ. Empirical Modelling

Ⅳ. Trade, Welfare and Fiscal Effects of REPA Reciprocity

Ⅴ. Estimates of Relative Costs and Benefits for Alternative Trade Policy Benchmarks

Ⅵ. Conclusions

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