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SCOPUS 학술저널

The Euro and Stock Markets in Hungary, Poland, and UK

The Euro and Stock Markets in Hungary, Poland, and UK

This paper aims to empirically investigate the effect of the euro on stock markets for Hungary, Poland and the UK, and also the co-movement of the stock prices with the euro-zone using the daily stock price indices. The result reveals that in order to develop the emerging stock markets, exchange rates should appreciate for Hungary, whereas they should depreciate for Poland. Furthermore, evidence of cointegration between the relative stock prices against Germany and exchange rates suggests that participating in the European Monetary Union may, ceteris paribus, stabilise the stock markets for these non-euro member states.

Ⅰ. Introduction

Ⅱ. Model and Data

Ⅲ. Unit Root, Structural Breakpoint, and Cointegration Tests

Ⅳ. Long-run Model (cointegration relationship)

Ⅴ. Dynamic Error Correction Models: VAR-GARCH Specification

Ⅵ. Conclusion

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